Polarity + confirmation

We will talk about an element that has just been added not long ago on our signals : it's the polarity indicator

The indicator of polarity :

You have an imaginary horizontal axis that indicates us the time on both sides. This is an indication of direction, the polarity which is falling or rising, it is very simple to read. 

Then you have some elements that are in gray. These are elements for which we don't have sufficent certainty in order to tell you whether it's falling or rising. So, we saved them with this way. We still don't know yet if we will keep them, but we are working on that. If you are wathcing this video now, it will likely be changed in a month or two.

In the end, you have you have the same notion : the color which  gives you the statistical probability for realization and  the bars height gives you more or less signal strength

So, here we are trading on the eurodollar again. 

 

Look for good quality signals :

We will look at all the details of the signals if you want. It is September 22, 2015. So, these days the euro dollar, for those who follow, caused a few scares and it was also the case for the rest of the market. As you can see on the video, we are inside a canal Mid-long term falling channel

I am not going to talk about it, it's not very interesting. Why do I say this ?

What we are trying to do is to have quality signals, and use them as such. The first thing we do when we open our graphics is watching and even putting a small post-it to remember the sens of the general trend. It's absolutely useless to get in front of the market. For people who make scalping, it is another area but for us, what we do here, it is the intraday

 

A confirmation element : "the Price Action"

We are looking for positions that can last from minutes to hours or even days (it is much rarer though). And we are absolutely not looking to get in the opposite direction of the trend unless we have some elements of the Price Action

There is also a training that I made which I believe is still available, I am talking about the Price Action. If you don't know waht it is, I recommend you to watch the presentation video. you will find that you will learn many things. At least, you will find that you will learn a lot of new things. 

So, the price action gives us good confirmations for stops and reversals of trend. Here, in this case we have our signal of 11:42 am. Here it is, a signal that was given gray, on which there was no indication of direction. There was no certainty about the polarity but we know we are in a movement of mid-long term decline.

We certainly do not look for purchase positions. You still have a power indication which is true because you see it in the end. You have a large drop in primer, and it's a little late at the end of the last waves of the movement. Anyway, you could enjoy it here, it was not very expensive to put a stop. For example here on this bit, and let slip with an eventual stop (a "stop trading" for example). It was a good idea.

You have the signal of 12:30 pm which is a signal given to buyers with a certain probability of occurrence. However, there is no indication of force. And you see that it is exactly what we got, the motion has stopped. We have one, two, three, four contact points : they are hammers exactly on the candle, and it rebounded. 

 

 

What to do :

When you're in a situation like this (mid-long term downward trend), again the purpose is not to buy but, it does give you an indication e.g. to exit your shorts here. It was a good idea to leave your shorts if you were short from here or simply if you have kept this one, it was the moment to get out. This is because you know there will be a stabilization maybe during a few minutes there. It did not last long (it lasted fifteen minutes), but it could have been longer.

The following signals were the one who is at 04:24 pm which is a medium quality signal : average in strength and average in probability. I put it here, we will keep an eye on it. And we especially look at the elements just as you see here, we have a beautiful hammer which is a fairly important stop element. So, when you are on the 5 minutes, this kind of gear, it does not inevitably last very long. The effect does not last necessarily during all day but, in any case, it takes a lot of capital to trace the course and pass from 1 to 50 to almost 25 cents above. In fact, what you need to looking for are confirmation points.

I truly recommend you to learn more on Price Action because, when it is combined with the time signals, you have something very solid. You almost have 80% of chance to be in the right direction.

Donc, voilà pour çà! Cette cette vidéo, c'était pour les éléments de polarité et de confirmation. Je publie très régulièrement des vidéos sur Youtube notamment et FacebookDonc, vous avez des liens qu’on a mis, vous avez plein de cas différents. Aujourd'hui, j’ai mis volontairement des signaux qui étaient peu intéressants, vous voyez qu'on a des signaux qui sont plutôt court. Il n’y en a que 2 aujourd’hui qui en a une probabilité statistique élevé. 

 

Summary :

Today was a difficult day to trade. When you have days like this, we especially seeks the quality. Let's look at the signal of 12:30 pm and 06:41 pm. The others are more technical, so it needs you to have more experience if you are really starting mainly on the euro-dollar.

You really have to be very careful then : for example, if you have doubts but you want to trade, let's admit you were there at 05: 03 pm. You have this signal but you are not sure what to do. Put just a half or a quarter of your lots, it's absolutely fine. You will have already gained experience and that's, you would have done something.

Always keep in mind that “Not to trade, it's also to trade”.

We don't have, every day, all the time to be in front of the markets, there are other things to do in life. But, I really suggest you to really be the most select possible and even try to trade only quality signals and to have the most supporting evidences.

If you already have a method for you then you can also combine it with the time signals method. You will see that you will gain in accuracy. And that's all I wish for you.

Be careful, good trades and goodbye !

 Watch right away :

To receive your 100% free signals : You want to anticipate and predict the markets, while the others still rely on scenarios based on technical analysis ?
What you'll find here you will not find it anywhere else.
I will show you the "INTRADAY METHOD" based on the cycles :
  • How to get in position without stress more easily than with any known method.

   (Test it and chechk out how much time you will gain …)

  • My personal method of Trading, that has nothing to do with what you have seen or heard, and how to copy it (I show you my screens with absolutely everything.
  • How to ENTER and exit of position knowing in advance where and when …
Everything is here : How to Use the cycles in intraday (I show you my screens : Cliquez to view …)
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What types of signals ?

Now, let's see together all the types of signals we are dealing with.

Signals based on the cycles :

Previously, we saw how to put the signals on a figure. Here, I also changed the market we are trading : this is the DAX. Now, I will talk a little about this system. You have not probably seen this system elsewhere, since it is a system that is based only on the cycles : the price cycles but above all the time cycles. And when you combine the two, it get something really strong.

What interests us most is not just to say it like that. What we seek first and foremost, is to have quality signals. And we are always trying to have the most scientific approach as possible. That's why we use statistics during years and years of backtestings. And we try to constantly improve the quality of signals.

 

How does it work in practice ?

Two types of color :

You have a 2 colors : light blue and dark blue. We wanted something to be recognizable at first glance. The dark blue represents a higher statistical probability to that of light blue. Voluntarily, we did not set percentage. Why ?

We don't want people to take unnecessary risks. We know that for example, it will be 78%, 83%, etc. But if I say, "Here! this signal of 12h04 who is here, has a probability of 85%", you will probably take big risks. And that's not what we want, we try to be careful. We are looking to keep our head on our shoulders especially because that's how you lose money in the markets. We may think we got here, beacuse we are the kings of markets. This is what happened to me and honestly, I do not want it to happen to you because, it is at this point that you will lose money.

So, for our signals, we have the dark blue and light blue, it's very simple.

 

The bars height :

Have you also noticed the height of the bars? There are usually three or four heights, it depends. This indicates the strength of the signal, it is expressed in pips or tics. So, it depends if you are on an index or a currency. It is the same, we know it in advance, but in general it is the same reasoning. We prefer not to indicate it precisely to you.

You shoukd know that, in general, the smallest bars is fifteen points. So, the higher it is, the darker is its blue color and therefore, the more you have a better statistical probability of realization (and especially a force, a hope for a fairly powerful movement).

 

 

Look what's next :

That's it! So, I invite you to see the next article which will talk about the signal polarity and supporting evidence (element of confirmation). It's about how we enter, how we pass an order with all this.


See you soon !

 Watch right away :

To receive your 100% free signals : You want to anticipate and predict the markets, while the others still rely on scenarios based on technical analysis ?
What you'll find here you will not find it anywhere else.
I will show you the "INTRADAY METHOD" based on the cycles :
  • How to get in position without stress more easily than with any known method.

   (Test it and chechk out how much time you will gain …)

  • My personal method of Trading, that has nothing to do with what you have seen or heard, and how to copy it (I show you my screens with absolutely everything.
  • How to ENTER and exit of position knowing in advance where and when …
Everything is here : How to Use the cycles in intraday (I show you my screens : Cliquez to view …)
facebook-icon FOLLOW ME ON FACEBOOK (innovative videos) : https://www.facebook.com/astrocyclestrading
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  YouTube-logo-full_color SUBSCRIBE ON MY YOUTUBE CHANNEL : CLICK HERE (I publish videos almost every day !)
C. Kazanov  

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How to use the signals

Hello and welcome to this presentation !

Check the signals in your emails :

In a moment, we will see how to use all the signals you've probably received in your email. So, if this is not the case (because often the signals are found in the unwanted spam box) so see if it's there, I advise you to put our emails (the recipient) as favourite, so you will not have this problem.

 

The types of signals :

I'll show you different types of signals. Here I took an example with the crude oil, but I will show you all our signals. The purpose is to show you how to effectively put on your screens every time signals with just a few clicks.

So, you have this kind of signals or, if you are subscribed to our "weekly" signals, you have something a little more refined. You have one presentation per day but they are exactly the same signals as those received by the members of the private group.

 

How it works :

I am just reminding it to you, on the evening of the day you receive the signals for the next day. These are time signals. But there are also price signals. That's another type of service proposed by us. Especially, our trading robot which is an indicator that shows you automatically what we will do manually now.

It shows you the signals of time and prices automatically, so it's a small gain of time. Then you have the price signals on all those which are formidable.

So you've probably received something similar to that. Let's immediately select the crude oil. So, I have voluntarily set nothing other than the course. And even, I invite you (it's a matter of habit but we will want) to remove the maximum amount of information. What we want to see it's just the course, and that's it.

 

We're still on 05 mins :

We are trading on 5 minutes. I remind you, our signals are given for 5 minutes. We can check, it is Tuesday, September 22. On the Crude Oil, you have a polarity indication and I will tell you more about that in the following video.

What we want to do is identify the signals, depending on what suits us. It is about trading all day long. The objective of these signals is also to trade as little as possible and as best as possible.

So, for example if you are available only from 03:00 PM to 05:00 PM, of course it is useless to indicate the rest. You can do it if you want to look for the effectiveness of signals, but it does not necessarily interest us here regarding what you will do.

 

The vertical bar : 

We'll just take a vertical bar. So, if you do not have one, I advise you to quickly change your broker because it's just not possible. This is the basic tool. If you do not have it, you may have rectangles or something like that.

 

We are on the London time :

So, we had a signal at 09:06 pm. So, I already said it and that's very important : the signals are given for London time. So, be careful, when you open your charts, what time is shown on your station (it is depends on who is your broker).

 

Each broker has its particularity :

There are brokers, such as FXCM (which is also the station that I currently displays) that is on London time. I think for IG Market it is Paris time. Interactive broker, it is rather an American time. So, you really have to pay attention to this because later it is a source of problems.

 

Conclusion :

So, we had this signal there at 08:13 pm. As you can see, I entered them directly. Here it is! You do this for all the signals. You can see it's very fast, it takes about 2 minutes. I was a bit little slow because of my VPS but, it should not take more than 05 minutes per market.

I invite you to meet me again in the next video. I'll show you and explain the different types of signals.

See you !

Read more...

Secret of Trading

A neglected trading method ?

Trading Price and Time is one of the possible way of trading but traders tend to leave it out often. This trading manner can predict potential turning points in the markets. You may use Fibonacci and the Gann Square of Nine as tools in this method. You will then be able to determine future reversal points by both the price of the market and the date.

If you use Fibonacci, you track down the preceding high and low that are emerge and their corresponding dates. Then, by using Fibonacci ratios like 0.382, 0.50 and 0.618, you calculate the probable turning points.

 

Application :

[thrive_lead_lock id=’76038′]For example, our low is 300 made on January 1st and our high is 400 made on June 30th. You calculate the difference in the prices and the dates then multiply them by the ratios above as showed in the following :

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400 – 300 = 100

Now you multiply 100 by the ratios and subtract them from the second number (400). So if we take the 0.50 ratio, it is :

100 * 0.50 = 50

400 – 50 = 350

Your reversal point is 350 then. You do the same calculation for the 0.382 and 0.618 ratios :

100 * 0.382 = 38.20

400 – 38.20 = 361.80

 

100 * .618 = 61.80

400- 61.80 = 338.20[/thrive_lead_lock]

 

Conclusion :

So you get 3 potential turning points in the market : The first price which is 361.80, the second 350.00 and the third 338.20.

For the time, we have applied the same calculations of the diff**$e$r**ence of the 2 dates and we get 3 dates where we have a potential reversal:*

Date1: 9/6/2006, Date2: 9/28/2006, Date3: 10/19/2006

 

Now you check if the Price and the Time “Meet”: if the potential price hits at one of the potential dates, this is where Price and Time have met.

The Gann method is a bit more difficult to use. That’s because it requires a program or the Gann square of nine in printed format in order to show the forecasted price reversals.

 

^

Read more...

How to use stops EP4 (use of SAR)

The SAR :

I will show you a technique that for me is interesting. You should have it on the platform, it is the Parabolic SAR or the candlestick (chandelier). The chandelier is an indicator that you may find on MT4 or that kind of platform. I use it mainly for the stops.

I let you look at the difficult calculation of the SAR. You have plenty of sites that talk about it. What's interesting is that it takes into account the relativity. So, that's when you are not sure where to place the stop.

 

Remark :

There is something I have not mentioned : it is to aim twice. Indeed, you must have a "take profit" which is the double of its stop. That means if you have a stop, for example, I take a lower here consequently and according to its exposure and the number of contract, we will target twice the risk.

O.K! It is very good when you are in an ideal and perfect world, but here if we go in the middle of a movement (yes, that happen), it is still quite expensive to go place a stop on the lowests.

 

Its advantage :

This is the reason why the SAR is so interesting : even in the middle of a movement, you'll be able to adjust your stop and have only little chance to be put on the exit. In fact, the times you're going to be out it is when there is a decrease of the relativity.

And so, you will see that the SAR approaches on the course. "The farthest it is, the less likely you will be out."

So, here I am on the 5 minutes. But, what I like to do is to just take the upper time unit. And here, I am sure you have enough space between the course and my stop. So, I'm not going to be out.

 

The additional technique :

Let's suppose that I entered there of course (I know it's easy to say it now). As we go on, I'll go down on my stop (of course, if I'm in a positive trend).

Let's suppose the entry point is here, my stop is here. As we go on, there is a new SAR point which appears every 15 minutes (I'm on 15 minutes now), I'm pulling down the SAR on each point. And at a certain moment, I will meet my entry point. And that's what's called the "stop to Zero".

I advise you to put it on the next lower point. Why ?

It'll allow you to often have the calculation of the "spread". So, if you ever were to have a movement in the opposite direction. You would really be at zero. You would not have to lose anything because you have in this area the calculation of the "spread". If you really put on your entry point then, you will lose a little because you often have at least one point or more depending on the period of "spread".

 

Conclusion :

That's it for that. I hope that this technique has convinced you. "Anyway, I listen to everyone but I do not believe anyone." And I suggest you do the same :

I mean you should test this technique. For me,  it already allowed me to avoid getting out, especially on violent market such as the Eurodollar market, the Gold, the Crude Oil but also to have a discipline. That is to say, to quickly get my stop lower and therefore have lower the risk.

So, if I take the exit at zero, it won't matter. You should know, that there are always trade opportunities everyday. Just do not be frustrated. The main thing is to not lose money.

I wish you good trades.

 

Good bye and see you soon !

 Watch right away :

To receive your 100% free signals : You want to anticipate and predict the markets, while the others still rely on scenarios based on technical analysis ?
What you'll find here you will not find it anywhere else.
I will show you the "INTRADAY METHOD" based on the cycles :
  • How to get in position without stress more easily than with any known method.

   (Test it and chechk out how much time you will gain …)

  • My personal method of Trading, that has nothing to do with what you have seen or heard, and how to copy it (I show you my screens with absolutely everything.
  • How to ENTER and exit of position knowing in advance where and when …
Everything is here : How to Use the cycles in intraday (I show you my screens : Cliquez to view …)
facebook-icon FOLLOW ME ON FACEBOOK (innovative videos) : https://www.facebook.com/astrocyclestrading
  Twitter-icon.png ON TWITTER : https://twitter.com/astrocycles1
  googleplus-logos-02  ON GOOGLE+ : https://plus.google.com/+Astrocyclestrading/
  YouTube-logo-full_color SUBSCRIBE ON MY YOUTUBE CHANNEL : CLICK HERE (I publish videos almost every day !)
C. Kazanov  

Last articles  :

All courses :

Here is a  list of all the courses  on  ingenius trading, brain hacking, stress management, investment and offshore systemClick to see more...      

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How to use stops Ep.3

 

There is another technique that we will see right away which is commonly seen and used. On the video, you can see an indicator that I added : Bolanger bands.

The Bolanger bands :

There are many traders who use that. I voluntarily leave with a period of 20. I know there are some people who like to use higher values.

The Bands of Bolanger, we repaint them a little bit. We don't tell you but if you observe, you will see that : as the course progresses, the gap (or expansion) of the bands paint a little bit. So, they change and adapt.

It less than for the other indicators, but a little bit anyway. So, there are many people like to say : "That's it, when we popped a band, it means that we are on oversale or overbuy and therefore, it will bounce back in the other direction."

This is true when you look in the past, but when you trade this indicator, it is false. And you see for example here, it was not reassembled. That's not why it bounced.

 

Comment utiliser les stops EP.3 (2)

 


Be cautious !

There are many examples which can be found by looking for yourself. And you will see that putting a stop above a Bolanger band, is dangerous! You will be out often.

So, maybe that makes some stops which are not very expensive, especially since we have a period of 20. But, for me it is not something very relevant. You see it there, we have a very violent movement. It was completely stuck in the Bolanger band, we were even put out at times. This is not the reason why the cost is down again immediately.

It is an indicator that, for me, is to be use with a specific manner. But, in any case, not in this way.

 

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How to use the Stops EP.2 (The DOW stop)

 

Let me show you the second technique on this series :

The DOW stop :

What is it ?

This is another technique that is mainly known by technical analysis traders, it's the DOW Stop technique. Named from the name of Charles Dow, co-founder of Dow Jones.

It is a technique that is already quite interesting, which consist of using a low point and putting your stop below a low point or a high point. But, the problem is that before we have this low or the high point, it is unclear what will happen after.

 

The double bottom or double top :

There are some people that use this technique of the "double bottom". or "double top".

Comment utiliser les stops EP2 (stop de DOW)

Why not? On short time units, it is fine. But, as you can see, for example, between this point and that one. You have 4 hours of gap. I do not wish you to stay in front of your screens for so long. It is a part of the goal of this training too.

So, this is something that you can watch. I am not saying that it does not work, but I am not sure it is very realistic in the modern world. We have so many things to do. Let me remind you this :

"Time is the most important".

 

So, that's it for this technique.

 

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How to use the Stops EP.1 (No stop)

 

Hello,

Today, in this video we will talk about the use of stops.

Why ?

I will try to present the different techniques that are quite common. Some that don't work or not very well, then one or two that seem more useful to me and, particularly, easier to learn. Even if you are just a starter.

The purpose and goal of this article is that at the end, you will have in hands a technique that really works. One technique that has often helped me out of bad situation, and even saved me on some bad markets.

 

The use the Stops :

There are many ways to see the use of stops. There are many people who don't agree about it. There are people who don't put stops. So, if you are in this case, if you think the stops are making you loose money, I advise you to really think about it once more.

I trully don't know a single trader alive (in the long-term) who does not put stops.

 

The mental stop :

Some of you may say: "Yes, yes, but we put a mental stop". The mental stop, which I know very well because I have tried. You always end up raising your stops or lowering them. And in the end we loose. We lose more much more than what we could have lost if we had put a real stop in the machine.

 

What about the brokers ?

There are some traders (maybe you are one) who have doubts about their brokers. This is completely normal. They say: "Yes, if I put a stop then, my broker will see and he will manipulate the price".

So, if you're in a regulated broker, normally it should not happen. And if you see something weird, I advise you to take screenshots and ask your broker what happened (it's never happened to me but, you never know).

Meanwhile, it is not an excuse to not put Stops. "Not putting stops means potentially burning your account". So, I obviously don't wish that for you.

 

 

We talked about the lack of stops which for me, is obviously a heresy. Don't miss out the next article.

And Put Stops!

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How I choose to trade in 5 minutes


Hello and welcome.

 

It’s Monday, August 31st.

 

A new tool on our platforms for soon:

We, at Astrocycles, rested a little bit these last days and besides, it’s good to occasionally do it. I hope you can find time do that also so that you aren’t all the time following the markets. That’s how you end up making mistakes.

So, today we’ll look at the euro-dollar, I will not present the signals but, as you see, they are here on the side. It may also be the last time it is presented this way because thre is a new tool that is coming out very soon for MT4. And also for another platform that I will present later.

MT4, there are many brokers who use this system. And it’s still pretty convenient to get the same thing with only one-click. That is to say, all our signals are displayed directly on your charts without anything else to do to open your station.

But for the others (and besides I use it) you see I have not put here yet. We will do it together, today’s forecast for you, if you are a member of the private group, so you get the signals the night before.

Well, it’s a really different approach since you know in advance the reversal probabilities so that you can organize your days. And that is in order not to stay all day long facing your screens. And this is really much appreciated. This is really another way of trading, in any case I really encourage you to try it.

Something new on signals :

So we have this signal this morning at 9:31 am. I am really showing you the live conditions here. An announced signal, as you can see. We have also have a new color. When we have this Grey color, it is something new on the signals. It simply indicates that the polarity is not certain. In any case it is in an order of the 50 percents. So when we had said it would be “bullish” it is the opposite.

Comment je choisis de trader en 5mn

In any case, you have exactly on the candle, on a candle, since the start went just before, but you see at 09:31 am on the front candle. I want to remind you that we are in 5 minutes, so that’s 25. We have the beginning of a reverse.

But we had evidences anyway, I really encourage you to watch our videos on Price Actions. You will learn many things. And even that can be enough for you. You might not have to use cycles. This is practical.

 

I’ll copy the signal of 10:46 am. It is a useful feature on the FXCM trading section. 10:46 am. So, we have 05:26 pm, 06:02 pm. We are still waiting for them. I’ll put them here and then we’ll see tomorrow. We will see what we get. At 17:00 am, the market today that is a bit … Let’s see if it changes with the openings of the US in a moment, may be it will take off a little. I am not in the market today, I am saying this sincerely.

That’s it

So, thank you for following us on this episode. I just wanted to tell you that tomorrow, you’ll see, it’ll be pretty amazing. I will say nothing more. Look, if you have not subscribed yet, then subscribe to the Youtube channel.


See you tomorrow. Good trades and be careful!

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Violent movements on the crude and superb cycles (Must see)


Hello and Welcome!

 

Today we will talk about the Crude Oil. We are on Tuesday, 21th of July 2015. If you wish, you can put the video on pause as usual and record the signals.

 

Violents movements :

So today we had quite violent movements. We like that on the crude oil. The early risers had a good indication of decline at 9:10 AM and you see that this is actually late of three or four candles. There was this movement and this one before, after that it was quite easy to make the purchase, it was cheap. We had a pretty clear indication of increases. Let me show it again to you: we already had another with the 01:15 PM signal that depict this beautiful take off.

crude oil 1 - Mouvements violents sur le crude et superbes cycles (a voir)

 

And why do I say that ? Here we have a beautiful wick followed by a bullish engulfing. We have this candle here that completely cover the previous one. Then we only have blues (blue signals) after this steady rise. So if you are really fearful, it was enough for example to get here on the break-out, because I know there are many people who are looking for break-outs. This does not cost very expensive to put a stop there and to purchase.

An increase of $ 1:

And you can still see a great opportunity on this one. We have more than $ 1 on the increase. That’s a lot of money. So now we can expect the signal of 04:16 PM. It is 06:16 therefore, London time is less one hour. You see on this part, we have what is called a “cluster”.

crude oil 2 - Mouvements violents sur le crude et superbes cycles (a voir)

 

We have 2 signals that are very close to each other : the one on 5:01 PM and 5:12 PM. It’s a little bit outdated and should be here. I think we’ll be able to do something and I am awaiting for the confirmation. We are not exactly on the signal. Then let’s wait a bit because I think I have a little bit shifted it.

Indeed, we must put it the right way.

 

Conclusion :

So we are exactly on our signature. When it’s like that, after a violent movement, even though we obviously want to do something, we will simply wait the end of these candles. I want to point out that after our next signal, we still had here all these rise indication signals.

It was 07:49 PM, which was a beautiful fall signal.

We’ll wait a bit to see how it stabilizes on this candle. Perhaps, we will attempt a purchase, but we remain cautious because you know we have this signal of 07:49 PM.

So that’s it! I’ll see you soon for news on the Crude Oil.

 

Be careful and make good trades!

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